▲ IRONCRESTINDUSTRIALINDUSTRIAL SURPLUS BUYERS
COPPER MARKET • UPDATED OCTOBER 2026

Copper Price Today & Market News

Copper hit all-time highs in 2026 — near $6.89 a pound on US futures markets. Here is what is driving it, what forecasters say comes next, and what it means if you are holding copper wire, pipe, or brass. Updated for October 2026.

Record Highs5 Price DriversForecaster DebateSeller's TakeMonthly Updates
THE MARKET RIGHT NOW

Copper at all-time highs.

In September 2026, copper futures in New York settled near $6.89 per pound — the highest price ever recorded. London prices hit records too, around $14,750 per metric ton. Copper is up roughly 40 to 48 percent over the past twelve months, outpacing gold, silver, and the stock market. Prices have eased slightly from the peak as October began, but remain near historic levels.

WHY IS COPPER SO HIGH?

Five forces, plainly explained.

  • Tariff stockpiling. The US Commerce Department proposed 15 percent duties on refined copper imports from January 2027, rising to 30 percent from 2028. Traders are flooding copper into the US ahead of the decision, draining inventories everywhere else and pushing world prices up.
  • AI data centers. Power-hungry AI infrastructure needs enormous amounts of copper for transmission lines, transformers, and battery storage. Analysts see copper deficits widening through 2030 on this demand alone.
  • Mine disruptions. Earthquakes, flooding in Indonesia, declining ore grades, and weak output from Chile, Indonesia, and Congo cut expected 2026 production by an estimated 600,000 tons. Global mined output could fall for the first time since 2017.
  • Grids and EVs. Power grid expansion, electric vehicles, and renewable energy keep adding structural demand. An EV uses several times the copper of a gas car.
  • Vanishing free inventory. Deutsche Bank estimates the US and China will have locked up 71 percent of the world's above-ground copper inventories by the end of 2026 — leaving the least freely-traded copper since 1984.
THE HONEST NUANCE

Not everyone agrees it lasts.

The refined copper market is technically in surplus — about 131,000 tons in the first half of 2026, according to the International Copper Study Group. The squeeze is in mine supply and freely-traded inventory, not finished metal. If tariff fears fade, stockpiled copper could flood back onto the market and press prices down. That is the bear case, and it deserves a hearing.

  • BULL — Deutsche Bank: $10/lb by mid-2027 on historic inventory squeeze.
  • BASE — Most banks: elevated but choppy, roughly $12,000–$14,500 per ton.
  • BEAR — Tariff reversal + inventory release + demand slowdown pull prices back.

These are analysts' scenarios, not predictions — and nobody has a crystal ball on the top.

WILL COPPER PRICES DROP?

What the forecasters actually say.

01

The Bull Case

Deutsche Bank forecasts $10 per pound by the second quarter of 2027 — over 50 percent above current levels. Their argument: the US and China are stockpiling, freely-traded inventory is at 40-year lows, and mine supply cannot respond quickly. A "historic scramble for metal" is underway.

02

The Base Case

Most banks and consultancies see copper staying historically expensive but not moving in a straight line — roughly $12,000 to $14,500 per metric ton through 2026. Tight supply holds prices up; high prices gradually cool demand and pull more scrap into the market.

03

The Bear Case

Prices fall if US tariffs are delayed or rejected (releasing stockpiled inventory), Chinese demand weakens, or a global slowdown hits manufacturing. High prices themselves are the cure: they encourage substitution and draw out scrap supply. This would be a correction, not a collapse.

04

The Seller's Read

Here is the part that matters to you: every scenario starts from all-time highs. Whether copper goes to $10 or corrects to $5, selling near a historic peak is a strong outcome. Nobody rings a bell at the top — selling into strength beats gambling on it.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR HOLDERS

If you are holding copper, this is your market.

High copper prices flow straight through to scrap values. Wire, pipe, brass fittings, motors — all of it is worth more when the market is at records. Here is the honest take from a buyer who watches this market every day.

MARKET LOG

Monthly copper notes.

  • October 2026. Copper opens the month near all-time highs after September's record run to ~$6.89/lb on COMEX. Deutsche Bank's $10/lb call for mid-2027 is the talk of the market. US tariff decision still pending — the single biggest near-term price driver. Mine supply remains constrained; AI data-center demand keeps building. For sellers: historically strong conditions persist.
  • November 2026. Update pending — check back.
  • December 2026. Update pending — check back.

This log is updated monthly with the market situation in plain language. Market figures cited from COMEX, LME, Deutsche Bank, the International Copper Study Group, and financial press — not Ironcrest pricing.

WHAT TO SEND

Prices are historic. Get your number.

You do not need to time the market perfectly — you just need today's number on your copper.

  • PHOTOS — The wire, pipe, or brass: one clear photo is enough.
  • WEIGHT — Your best estimate in pounds.
  • LOCATION — Your city and state.

Start with photos →

COMMON QUESTIONS

Copper market questions, answered straight.

Why is copper so high right now?

Copper hit all-time highs in 2026 — near $6.89 per pound on US futures — on five forces: tariff stockpiling ahead of proposed US import duties, surging AI data-center demand, mine disruptions in Chile, Indonesia, and Congo, power grid and EV buildout, and historically low freely-traded inventories. Deutsche Bank estimates the US and China have locked up 71 percent of above-ground copper stocks.

Will copper prices drop?

Forecasters disagree. Deutsche Bank sees $10 per pound by mid-2027; cautious analysts note the refined market is in surplus and high prices could cool demand. The honest answer is that nobody knows the top — but every scenario starts from historically high prices, which favors sellers.

Is now a good time to sell copper scrap?

By every historical measure, yes. Copper at all-time highs means one of the strongest seller's markets on record. Many sellers prefer selling into strength over gambling on a higher peak. Call 312-880-8174 for today's number on your copper.

How much is my copper wire worth?

It depends on the grade, the weight, and today's market — prices move daily, which is why Ironcrest never publishes per-pound numbers. Text a photo to 312-880-8174 and I will give you today's real number for your exact wire.

What moves copper prices?

Mine supply, industrial demand (construction, EVs, data centers, grids), trade policy and tariffs, exchange inventory levels, and investment flows. In 2026, tariff positioning and AI infrastructure demand have dominated the story.

Do US copper tariffs affect scrap prices?

Indirectly, yes. Proposed US tariffs on refined copper imports have driven stockpiling inside the US, tightening supply elsewhere and lifting global prices — which supports stronger scrap values. The Commerce Department has proposed 15 percent duties from January 2027 and 30 percent from 2028, pending a presidential decision.

Where can I sell copper scrap for cash at today's prices?

Ironcrest Industrial Surplus buys copper wire, pipe, and brass for cash nationwide, priced off current markets. Text a photo of what you have to 312-880-8174 for today's number — no minimums, every bucket counts.

RECORD MARKET

Holding copper? Get today's number.

Prices are at historic highs. Text a photo of your wire, pipe, or brass to Sonny at 312-880-8174 and I will give you today's cash number.

TEXT A PHOTO FOR CASH